Shesa's weekend stock market updates - 3|29|26

Welcome to the weekend updates

The US stock market continue to be extremely volatile and painful for the investors. As the U.S, Israel & Iran war continues the stock market are becoming more and more chaotic. Mainly the energy sector (Oil & Gas) are doing well  and some of the defensive stocks in industrial and material are doing OK. All other stocks have/had terrible time.  As a matter of fact, last week we saw another blood bath in the market S&P 500 was down -2.1%, Nasdaq dropped -3.2%, Dow declined -1.7%. Nasdaq and DOW are already in the correction territory. Nasdaq is down almost about -13% and DOW down -10.6%. S&P 500 is at the door step of correction territory. The stock markets have fifth straight losing week amid US-Iran conflict headlines. The Early relief rally on ceasefire hopes faded as tensions escalated, oil went past $100. The Markets remain headline-driven. 

In order to protect from the downturn and blood bath, I have added UVIX to my blog portfolio today at $10.86. Please note that it's not an investment, rather it's an insurance to protect. This is extremely risky and when market recovers it may fall very fast. But in the current scary market situation, it goes up like crazy.  In last one month this ETF has gone up 87%!! Having said that, one must be extremely vigilant to buy and sell and act fast, otherwise simply avoid it. It's extremely rewarding or extremely risky depending on the market situation. I will write more on this in my next blog. Stay tuned!

- META stock was slammed over 13% last week, closing at $525.72. 
Main reason: Jury verdicts finding Meta (and Google) liable in social media addiction cases, including a California trial linking Instagram’s design to harm and a New Mexico child-safety ruling with a $375M penalty. This raises fears of more lawsuits, liabilities, and regulatory risks. 
Ongoing pressures like high AI capex, prior AI model delays (e.g., “Avocado”), and broader tech selling added to the decline of Meta stock. It has been a horror for META stock. It's trading at just 17.61 of its forward earnings.  Possibly, it may bring good opportunity soon.

- On other news, President Trump said he would extend a pause in attacking Iran’s energy facilities by 10 days, to April 6, at the request of the government of the Islamic Republic. Earlier he had extended for 5 days.

- Watch for news on SpaceX IPO soon.

Key Economic Report next week
TUE, March 31: Consumer confidence
WED, April 1: ADP Report
FRI, April 3: U.S. Unemployment rate

What to watch in the Current Market
UVIX, UVXY, USO, XLE, TSLA, SHLD, GLD, SLV

What to do in such a market?
As I have been saying for over a month, the stock market has been chaotic. During my last week's Q&A session, I told that market situation is not looking good and better to trim some positions and hedge the portfolio. The market situation still does not look good and continue to deteriorate week after week. So, it's better to protect the portfolio rather than being aggressive. If possible, I will try to publish my blog on Tuesday night. Stay tuned!


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