November 2013 Investment News Letter
13 November 2013
November 2013 Investment News
Letter
Shesa Nayak
Market Commentary: The
Dow Jones Industrial Average
kept fluctuating lower ad higher all this week and closed at 15,821. Nasdaq
closed at 3,965. Mostly, market has been in the trading range fluctuating a couple
of hundreds points up/down depending on the earnings announcement, job reports
and so on. Now the government shutdown factor has gone but growth in the job
market and corporate growth is being questioned. Every time something or other
event will be taking place and we should not be too concerned as a long term
investor. Let the market take its own course. If you feel comfortable get
invested diligently and not worry too much about market fluctuations.
International Market: It has been an
exceptionally strong September and October for both U.S. and global markets.
The broad U.S. market has jumped 8.46% since the start of September, rising
4.27% in October alone. The performance of global markets over the past two
months has been even more impressive. Those investors in these markets, it has
been a profitable ride as most of those markets are on upward momentum since 1st
September.
The single-best
performer has been Greece, which has soared over 30%, Spain is next with a gain
of about 23%, with India rising about 20. Indian market, BSE has gone past
20,000 points.
STOCK
This month I would like to talk about 3
stocks that I think have future potential and could potentially be long term
winner.
SODA
(SODA Stream International): Last month
this stock was in my watch list. I had indicated about SODA. It’s a
company that developed an at-home carbonation product that allows people to
make drinks like Coke for themselves. Now the stock is around $56. It may be a
good idea to take a small position at this point or if you still want to wait
then you can put a limit order around 52.50. Though, SODA’s US sales have
decreased, I believe this company has future potential to diversify into many
international markets and capture some major market shares in future. If you
think about long term then you should not be too concerned. In case, the stock
falls further then you can do dollar cost average.
FB
(Facebook Inc): Recently Facebook released their earnings a few days back. They had
solid growth but there were concerned by the analyst that the teen’s usage of
facebook has dropped down from about 36% to 28%. That’s the major reason why
the stock was beaten down. Also Twitter is going public in next few days. As a
matter of fact, Facebook stock corrected a little bit. However, if you were
waiting to buy some FB stocks then you can put a limit order around $47. Currently,
the stock trade at around $49. It could fall further so always remember to do
dollar cost average. However, if you are a long term investor you can put some
money on this stock. Please do not invest all your money at once.
TSLA
(Tesla Motors): As you may be
aware Tesla manufactures Electric car. The
company is located in Silicon Valley. This stock has gone almost 400% in last 1
year. It reported result on 5th November. After the earning release the
stock was beaten down about 23%. This was their biggest one day drop in last 2
years. The reason is that Tesla Motors has a battery problem. It doesn't have
enough of them. The company CEO on Tuesday blamed shortage of lithium-ion
battery cells for trouble meeting demand for Tesla's lone vehicle, the Model S.
The CEO also indicated that there won't be any relief until next year, when a
deal to get more batteries from supplier Panasonic kicks in. Some potential
buyers in North America were left out as cars were diverted to Europe for sale
to customers on a waiting list there. Visualizing above problem the stock may
not fly soon again till the battery supply improves. But this may be time to
take a small position for long term. I personally feel that it has a great
future prospect and potential to dominate the industry with innovations.
However, if you are an impatient investor then you better avoid it. If you
still ant to wait then you can put a limit order around $135.x.
Let’s now take look to our previous recommendation:
GOGO:
As I have been telling this company can either be acquired or it can
be a dominant player and a game changer. It has gone up more than 130% since the time I recommended about
a couple of months ago around $12. In last few trading session it has gone up
more than 40%. Currently, it’s trading around $28. If you bought some stock
then it’s a good idea to take some profit and sit tight. I sent an alert
message a couple of days ago. I hope and wish some of you bought it earlier. I have
been recommending this company and I still believe that buying it below $22 or
so is still a very good buy. It happens to be the only company that provides Internet
services on the flights.
SLW: I recommended this
company last month. Currently the stock is trading around $22. There
were some corrections as the company is closing some of its mines. You can add
little bit as a speculative buy around this price or around $21. As mentioned
earlier, please note that this stock also has large volatility. So again, if
you do not have patience and long term investment approach then please avoid
it.
AAPL: Apple Inc.
released its earning late last month which was little better than Analyst
expectation on net profit as well revenue stand point. However, their
projection was probably little softer than what analyst expected. The stock is
trading around $520 since last several days. Recently, they released iPad air
and yesterday they released iPad Mini. I believe that Apple shares will go up
only with a few catalysts. Otherwise it may keep hovering around $500-525. The
catalysts that can upswing apple are indicated below:
(i)
Better new exciting product viz. iTV, iWatch or something nobody is
expecting
(ii)
Deal with China mobile which has more than 750 million subscribers
(iii)
Blow out next quarter and better Sales projection for iPhone, iPad and
Macbook(s)
Mutual Funds:
FBIOX: There were some corrections on
this fund off late. It may be good time to keep adding to this fund every now
and then. I believe this is one of the best mutual fund.
Whatever security that, I recommend it’s always long term. Otherwise, I
mention specifically to trade. Long term investment needs patience and
investment discipline. No body can be right all the times and hence there are
always risks associated to any investment. So also, reward associated with it.
These are just my recommendations but you need to do your due diligence before
investing.
STOCKS ON WATCH LIST:
EXEL:
Exelixis Inc.: This is a biotechnology company, engages in developing small molecule therapies
for the treatment of cancer in the United States. It has long pipeline of
cancer drug trial in Phase II, phase III. A lot of results are expected during
2014. I will keep you posted in future. This stock currently trade around $5.
That’s all for today. Thank you for your interest on reading my blog. Please
feel to send me your comments and suggestions to shesa.nayak@gmail.com
Disclaimer: This blog is meant to provide my own opinion rather than professional recommendation
to buy/sell any stock, ETF, mutual fund or any other security. Everybody is
welcomed to provide their own suggestion(s) in this forum. As an investor it’s
your hard earned money and you should decide what is best for you. The above
are merely my own recommendation(s).
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