Shesa's Investment Blog

  Please find the pics from our Investment Meet on 6|8|2025.

The month of May ended with a spectacular market performance. The S&P 500 added more than 5% this month, while the Nasdaq rocketed 9.5% in that time. Both are on track to notch their best months since November 2023. The Dow Jones gained 3% on the month. For the week, the S&P 500 advanced 1.5%, while the 30-stock Dow is up 1% and  Nasdaq went up 1.9%. The biggest ever was another great earnings report. I will write about it later. On the economic front, the Consumer Confidence Index for May 27, 2025, rose to 98.0 from 85.7 in April. This is the highest ever increase of consumer confidence in a single month . The Federal reserve - FOMC minutes  from May 7, FOMC that showed a cautious approach due to increased economic uncertainty. Officials noted solid economic growth and labor market but highlighted rising risks of higher inflation and unemployment, partly due to tariff uncertainties. The last three months inflation has been receding but FED is...

Friends, wishing all my readers a VERY HAPPY MEMORIAL DAY!! The Stocks declined last Friday after President Donald Trump raised trade fears again, warning  Apple   and recommending stiffer duties on the European Union. The Friday’s declines added to the market’s weekly losses. The S&P 500, DOW and NASDAQ - all lost more than 2.5% for the week. Some other facts which contributed to this downturn as indicated below.  But just to remind that this week is going to be EXTREMELY important not only because of a few key economic report but the most IMPORTANT earnings of the quarter. Nvidia ( NVDA ) reports earnings on Wednesday, 5/28 , after the close of the market. This would be the KEY and impetus for technology stocks. I am hoping for a good quarter but let's keep the fingers crossed. The U.S. debt-and-deficit situation is bad and facing real prospects of getting worse, triggering a high-profile credit rating downgrade from Moody’s and another selling stamp...

We saw a fantastic week for the U.S Stock Market last week. The S&P 500: Up 5.3% for the week, Dow Jones Industrial  Average (DJIA): Up 3.4% for the week and Nasdaq Composite was up a humongous  7.2% for the week.  The rally was driven by primarily by U.S.-China tariff reductions and moderating inflation (CPI at 2.3% in April). The Tech and consumer discretionary sectors led gains, while healthcare lagged. The tariff news has been the main bouncing factor. The  S&P 500 is back into positive territory for the year, as investors extended the sharp gains for the week. Let's see some of the Economic news last week The  consumer price index ( CPI ) , which measures the costs for a broad range of goods and services, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.2% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.3% vs. 2.4% expected. Please note that the inflation has been going down for the last 3 months. The Producer Price Index ( PPI ) came at   2.4% (vs. expec...

Last week the market was volatile but remained neutral with little variations. The S&P 500: Down -0.5% for the week, DOW was down -0.2% , and Nasdaq was down -0.3% . The stock market was influenced by Federal Reserve actions and economic data. The Fed held interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.5% on May 7, citing increased risks of inflation and unemployment due to Trump’s tariff policies. Fed Chair Powell emphasized a “wait-and-see” approach, noting economic uncertainty and tariff impacts on growth and prices. I would say that he showed neutral stand. However, looking to the current inflation rate, I feel that FED may cut rates in its June meeting, though it's too early to call. There will be a few very important economic report this week which may determine Fed's next action. You may be aware of the India and Pakistan geopolitical situation. They declared so-called ceasefire but of course it did not impact the stock market.  One good news, which may bring the stoc...

  By Shesa Nayak U.S. Stock Market Update   The U.S. stock market in 2025 has been marked by significant volatility, primarily driven by trade policy uncertainties, particularly tariffs, and macroeconomic factors like inflation, Federal Reserve actions, bad economic numbers, anticipated higher inflation, lack of consumer confidence and sentiment. The Trump policies - so called liberation day brought chaos. However, the market seems to have turned the table and has been on upswing for last couple of weeks. The uptrend started since 21st April, about two weeks ago. During this time the S&P and Nasdaq had consecutive 9 days upward movements which is a record in last 100 years of stock market history . And both the indexes went up over 10% in last 9 days. It all started as Trump paused tariff for 90 days, positive news on trade negotiations, reasonable economic numbers, fantastic earnings and guidance from some top tech AI companies. Furthermore, the expectation of trade ...