Weekend Update - 3|16|25

Last week, the U.S. stock market experienced significant volatility driven by economic and political uncertainty. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq entered correction territory, dropping over 10% from its recent high, marking its worst weekly loss since March 2023 with a decline of about 4.3%. The Nasdaq Composite fell even harder, down 4.9% for the week, its steepest drop since September—while the Dow Jones lost 4.6%, its worst performance since June 2022. Year-to-date the Nasdaq was down 8.06%, and was down as much as 14.7% from its all-time high.

The primary catalyst was ongoing concern over President Trump’s tariff policies, with fears of inflation and economic slowdown weighing on sentiment. A midweek reprieve came as encouraging consumer price index (CPI) data showed cooling inflation in February, sparking a brief rally on Wednesday. However, this was short-lived, as stocks plunged again Thursday amid persistent trade war jitters and government shutdown risks. Friday saw a sharp rebound, the best day of 2025 led by tech giants like Nvidia, Tesla, SMCI, Palantir etc. The Quantum computing stocks were on fire. However, the major indexes still closed the week lower for the fourth straight week. Despite a weaker-than-expected jobs report, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s reassurance about the economy’s health provided some late-week stability. 

Major Economic News this week
  • Monday, 3/16: RETAIL SALES Report: retail sales is expected to increased 0.6% in February.
  • Fed Decision (March 18–19): Fed may remain neutral though they may tilt towards net rate cut as Economy and inflation has soften. 
  • Nvidia GTC (March 17–21): I think this Nvidia conference may bring some big news. The company is gong to provide AI updates and Quantum day on 3/20 may boost tech stocks.
  • Economic Data: Other date with regard to housing, and industrial production reports will shape economic views.
Expect swings as investors weigh Fed moves against trade uncertainty, with tech potentially leading any upside.

STOCKS to Watch: NVDA, AVGO, SMCI, TSLA, IONQ, RGTI, QBTS, some financial stocks, QQQ, Semiconductor stocks.

We are going through a stormy market situation due to Trump policies and economic uncertainties. But later on market will start focussing on good news like Q1 earnings, Trump Tax Cut de-regulations etc. Hopefully, I will put my blog sometime soon. 

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