Shesa's JANUARY 2020 Investment Blog
JANUARY
2020 - INVESTMENT BLOG
By
Shesa Nayak
Wishing my blog readers a very happy and prosperous New Year –
2020. Let’s hope that we see another block buster year for Stock Market!!
U.S. Stock Market
Update
2019 was
an incredible year for the stock market the second-best year of the decade.
Wall Street wrapped
the year and decade on high note that saw equities surge to record highs
resulting best gains in 6 years. Last year was an eventful year due to
trade war with China, multiple interest rate hikes followed by rate cuts by
Federal Reserve, the impeachment of President Donald Trump, Europe turmoil,
Hongkong protest; all these contributed to significant volatility in the stock
market particularly in the first half of the year. Despite all these events,
Wallstreet hardly seemed to bother and pushed all the stock market indexes to
new all-time highs. Let me take the clock back to December 2018, it was a brutal year in the history of U.S stock
market since the great depression. The S&P 500 had lost 11%. It was primarily
caused by trade war with China, hike in interest rates and
government shutdown.
Meanwhile, U.S and China are reported to sign phase one trade
deal with Beijing on 15th January. This
year is expected to be further eventful with U.S presidential election
scheduled in November 2020. The U.S bull market is already a decade old; how
long can it sustain? Is it time to sell now and lock in the profits? Or do I
stay in the market for 2020? That's the number-one question on many investors'
mind right now. Though, we did not see much volatility in the second half
of the year, question remains - whether volatility will return again? Which
sector would do well, what should be the strategy? There are numerous questions
in investors mind. I have done my extensive analysis for my blog readers but before
that let’s take a look to stock market indexes.
Indexes | 12/24/18 (LOW) | Close (12/31/18) | Close FRI (12/31/19) | Change in 2019 | % Change in 2019 | All Time High | Diff % |
DOW | 21792.2 | 23,327.46 | 28,538.44 | 5,210.98 | 22.34 | 28,701.66 | -0.57% |
S&P 500 | 2351.1 | 2,506.85 | 3,230.78 | 723.93 | 28.88 | 3,247.93 | -0.53% |
NASDAQ | 6192.92 | 6,635.28 | 8,972.60 | 2,337.32 | 35.23 | 9,052.00 | -0.88% |
BTK | 3890.37 | 4,220.85 | 5,067.45 | 846.60 | 20.06 | 5264.81 | -3.75% |
NBI | 2816.54 | 3,251.08 | 3,786.54 | 535.46 | 16.47 | 4165.86 | -9.11% |
Major Economy
News
Fed kept
Interest rate unchanged
On December 11, the
Fed held interest rate steady during its final policy meeting of 2019. As you may know, the current
target interest rate range is 1.5% - 1.75%. The Fed also signaled that
it's in no rush to begin hiking rates any time soon. It emphasized on upbeat
economy, strong hiring conditions, and stable prices.
Q4 and 2020 earnings preview
Earnings Growth: According
to FactSet, for Q4 2019, the estimated earnings decline for the S&P 500 is -1.3%. If
it comes true, then it will mark first-time index has reported four straight
quarters of year-over-year earnings decline since Q3 2015. Please
note that the estimated earnings growth rate for Q4 2019 was 2.4% on September
30.
Valuation:
The forward 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 17.6.
This P/E ratio is above the 5-year average (16.6) and above the 10-year average
(14.9). For 2020: analysts see earnings
growth of between 5% and 7% for the first half of 2020.
Black
Friday Online shopping: on Black Friday hit a record of $5.4 billion.
That's up 22.3% from one year ago. Cyber Monday also broke records, racking up
a total of $9.4 billion in online sales. That's up 19.7% from a year ago.
Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate in US decreased to 3.5% in November 2019.
Inflation picked up to 2.1% in November from 1.8% in the previous month.
GDP Growth: The U.S. economy
grew by an annualized 2.1% in the third quarter of 2019. Please not that
previous three-month GDP growth was 2%.
Boris Johnson won British Election:
Prime Minister Boris Johnson had a landslide victory that provided his Tory
party with a huge majority of 365 seats in Parliament, allowing Brexit to
finally expected to happen this month.
Phase
One trade deal: China announced on Friday that it has agreed
to “Phase One” of a trade deal with the U.S., so the Trump Administration
canceled new tariffs on $160 billion in Chinese goods that were scheduled to
kick in on December 15th and plans to partially reduce tariffs on other Chinese
goods. Per Trump, the deal will be signed on 15th January 2020.
Strong
Real Estate Bounce: According to the National Association of Home
Builders their confidence index rose to 76 in December, up from a revised 71 in November, and it is
now at the highest level in the past 20 years. It can be noted that a
year ago, home builder confidence was at 56, so there has been a dramatic
improvement in the past year. The new housing starts rose 3.2% in November to an annual pace
of 1.37 million.
India’s GDP growth falls to slowest pace since 2013
Growth in India’s economic output slowed
to 4.5% in the three months that ended in September — and experts are
predicting a further slowdown for the world’s seventh-largest economy. Growth
slowed to its weakest since the first quarter of 2013, according to Reuters,
and was down from the 5% registered for the previous three months.
What can be expected of the stock market in 2020?
Going into 2020, further uncertainty abounds. U.S.
election which. Is scheduled for November this year could have major impact on
the stock market. The U.S-China trade relations, the regulatory climate for
financial services and health care, and much more of the economic landscape.
And it remains to be seen whether the FED’s multiple rate cuts in
the latter half of 2019 along with other countries monetary easing will help
sustain the longest economic expansion on record. Will that be enough to turn
around the slowing growth that we saw in 2019. Or are we entering this period
where that slow decline will continue until it eventually becomes recessionary?
Let me analyze my perspectives.
Bear side arguments:
We had weak corporate earnings during 2019. So, the
stock market has gone ahead of it making the valuation expensive. The trade war with China, new trade wars with
Europe, uncertainty around
the 2020 presidential election, Trump's impeachment,
slowing global growth, weakness in Europe, weakness in recent U.S manufacturing reports, and an aging bull market are some of the weak
spots in the economy. Hence, bear would argue that the stock market is over-valued,
so it’s better to get out of stock market and put the money in conservative investment
or hold cash. I do see their viewpoint and agree to some of those arguments.
However, I am still on bull side, so let me share my thoughts.
Bulls Argument
Low Interest Rate is helping
Consumer and Business
We have a supportive Federal Reserve
who has cut interest rate three times this year and helping to keep the interest rate low fueling economy growth. The
current interest rate is very low 1.5% - 1.75%. Such low interest rate makes it easier for
consumer to get loan viz. home loan, car loan, home equity line of credit,
personal loan for spending. It’s easier for business to get loan cheaper and
buy back their own share. It also helps the corporate world to issue bonds, pay
less interest and utilize the money for their business growth. For small
business, cheaper interest rate is a boon to grow their business and generate
maximum employment. So, low interest rate is
extremely favorable for consumer and business which becomes an impetus for
overall economy growth. Just to remind my blog reader United States is enjoying its longest economic expansion in
history and so also the stock market is booming.
Fed may not raise
rates in the election year
I do not visualize Fed will hike
interest rate in this election year where inflation is mere 2% unless we see significant uptick in inflation rate. As such, I believe
this low interest rate environment is going to continue during 2020. The only
exception is, if inflation rise substantially then Fed may raise interest rate.
However, in my view it’s unlikely as Gas price and wage growths are minimal.
Strong
Job Market fueling Consumer Spending:
Employers added 266,000 jobs in November, pushing unemployment to a 50-year low of 3.5%. In other words, the job
market is incredibly strong, fueling an economic expansion. Jobs are key
in any economy. When people have job, they get confidence to spend more
freely resulting in better consumer confidence and accelerated consumer
spending. The recent rise in real wages and savings rate
are also adding to consumer spending.
As we know, Consumer spending makes almost 70%
of the U.S. economy. So,
when consumer spend more it’s better for the economy. This year there
were record spending on Black Friday and
Cyber Monday. Christmas spending is expected to outpace last year’s retail
sales.
Better Revenue &
Earnings Growth (Projected for 2020)
Quarters
|
Revenue Growth
|
Earnings Growth
|
Q1 2020
|
4.4%
|
5.4% (2019: -3.1%)
|
Q2 2020
|
4.9%
|
6.9% (2019: 3.7%)
|
Overall 2020
|
5.5%
|
9.7% (2019:
2.3%)
|
Source: FactSet
In 2019 the earnings
and revenue growths were marginal; hence the comparison will be easier for
corporate work in 2020. In other words, the sales and profit would look much
better in 2020.
Election Year – TrumpEconomy: With the 2020 election on the horizon, President Trump is going
to sing the song about economy. His highest approval ratings are for his
handling of the economy and he's up for
a second term. Economy is THE most important
achievement that Trump can keep talking and spend
the next year aggressively promoting the U.S. economy and that may help the stock market to run
further.
U.S market ahead in
the game: The U.S. is the sole
economic strength in a world where Europe is in trouble and the leading
economies of Asia are slowing. As a matter of fact, yields for government bonds from the leading
issuers in Europe and Asia are increasingly heading into negative yields. In U.S also bond is yielding lower than the
dividend being paid S&P 500 companies. Hence, international money will keep
flowing to stocks. And it would keep
happening as long as there is no major downturn in the stock market.
Huge Money sitting on
the sideline: Per WSJ data,
investors have pulled out a record amount of fund, over $220 billion from
mutual funds and ETFs so far in 2019. This was a record after 1992. As
we are aware, the trade-deal is almost done and expected to be signed on
January 15th. Once deal is signed or even before that the money
sitting on sideline could come into stock pushing stock market further high. In
addition, approx. $3.4+ trillion is sitting in cash and money
markets, if some of those mountain of money pours into the stock market in
January, when corporate and government pension funding begin,
and investors fear of missing out stock market boom! Please note
that, this year the pension Social Security Administration has announced a 2.8%
increase in pension benefits.
USMCA Trade Deal could help create Jobs and Economy:
Congress finally passed the USMCA (NAFTA replacement) bill to open trade
barriers with two of its biggest trading partners Mexico and Canada.
These two countries are our two biggest trading partners. Please note that even
though China is one of the largest trading partners but U.S mostly import much
more than export to China. Whereas, U.S. exports five times more to Mexico and
Canada than to China. As a matter of fact, this deal will create
thousands of new jobs for all these three nations. This is very positive
for the economy.
Bottomline: 2019 was an
exceptionally strong year for the stock market because yield-hungry investors
were chasing stocks with high growth, high dividend yields as Bonds and money
market hardly provide any yield to be considerate. However, in
2020, investors may continue to look for good stock as overall earnings
environment will be improving, and as a matter of fact it could be an even
stronger year as aforesaid. Moreover, it may be a bumpy ride as election approaches,
so one has to carefully invest, take profit and buy good
stock on dip. The current rally could continue to the first
half of January as new pension funds, bonus money pours to the stock market and
then we may see some volatility and little bit correction before Q1 earnings
kick-off.
My Prediction:
I prefer not predict stock market gain but as I have given my bull side
argument, I will not be surprised to see a gain of 15-20% for S&P 500 and
20+% gain for NASDAQ in 2020.
A Sector to watch in 2020 for bigger Gain
Over the last 4 years Nasdaq Biotech index is down about 1-2%
since April 21, 2015. During the same period, U.S. stocks on the Nasdaq are up a
whooping 92%. In other words, broader tech has outperformed biotech by more
than 92x.
Usually, long-term breakout
occurs after years of consolidation and possibly we are seeing the same with
biotech stocks now.
I expect this index to explode to new high and possibly go further up. If we
see the statistics, biotech and pharma sectors saw $195 billion in mergers and
acquisitions in the first 9 months of the year. These acquisitions may continue going forward because
larger pharmaceutical companies will find it difficult to grow their revenue. Hence, these pharma
companies will buy other biotech companies which have great potential in order
to increase their revenue stream. As it stands, Donald Trump is expected to win the
re-election next year, if so, it should be bullish for biotech sector comparing
to a Democratic win. In fact, Trump win can bring huge rally in healthcare and biotech
to rally to new historic highs. One should also note that biotechs are very
risky and rewarding so caution is warranted.
Which index should we invest?
Please take look at the index below and
see that NASDAQ is hands down winner!! Please not that below table is till Nov
9, since then market indexes have moved up 4-5%. Please take a look below and
you would know where to find better ROI, if you are willing to take some risk.
Stock Market
Index
|
Nov 9, 1989
|
Nov 8, 2019
|
30-Year Gain
|
NASDAQ
|
454.07
|
8483.16
|
1,768.2%
|
DOW
|
2603.69
|
27,671
|
962.8%
|
S&P 500
|
336.57
|
3097.77%
|
820.4%
|
Source: Yahoo Finance.
But this point leads
to another question in mind, “is the U.S Stock Market Overvalued?
U.S Stock Market Overvalued??
People complain that the market is
overvalued but with these low interest rates market is really below fair value.
It still has some room to move up as S&P 500 is trading at 17.6% of next
year’s earnings.
Many market experts think
international stocks are poised for a comeback in 2020 due to attractive
valuations and a potential rebound in global economic growth. I don’t disagree
with this, because U.S has/had an incredible 10 years long bull market. But
will the international stock outpace U.S market is questionable! The only outside
country that I am invested is Chinese ADR and don’t have any exposure to other
countries and have no intention to do in the near future.
Granted that 29%
gain the S&P 500 this year doesn’t tell the whole story,
since 2018 was so weak. The S&P is only up about 12% since its 2018 high in late January of
that year. Thus, if we compare to that period and now, we can not see a
stellar two-year performance, netting a two-year average
annual gain of barely around 6%. We just can’t forget the horrific December of
2018. Though it has been 10 years for the bull market do not necessarily mean
that it’s long and “over”, previous bull market had run for 18
years from 1981 – 1999.
Word of Caution:
I may sell little bit if rally continue in January to raise some Cash. In my
view, it may bring some buying opportunities when the inevitable pullback comes
possibly in the second half of January into February. But I am not a fortune
teller, it’s just part of my strategy to take some chips out of table when opportunity
arises.
2019 at a Glance - My favorite stocks I mentioned in January
2019 Blog.
Stock
|
Jan 2019 (in USD)
|
31 Dec 2019 (in USD)
|
BABA
|
139.75
|
212.10 (up 52%)
|
SHOP
|
138.06
|
397.58 (up 187%)
|
FB
|
137.95
|
205.25 (up 49%)
|
AAPL
|
148.26
|
293.65 (up 98%)
|
AMZN
|
1775.39
|
1847.84 (up 4%)
|
IQ
|
19.70
|
21.11 (up 7%)
|
My Stock picks for 2020
Amarin (AMRN): This one is on the TOP of my list. As you may be aware, the
extended label for Vascepa was approved by FDA on Friday, 12/13/19. I have
provided many updates about this company on my blog as well to my WhatsApp
group. Vascepa has tremendous potential to become a blockbuster drug for
cardiovascular diseases. Amarin is one of my largest holding. The company is
expected to grow its revenue in triple digits in coming quarters. Moreover, it’s
one of the top three acquisition targets for 2020. I will
not be surprised, if this company can be acquired in next few
days/weeks/months. Even if it’s acquired then also the shares can keep growing
in conjunction to its higher revenue and profitability. There is still a long list of catalysts for
2020 in my view as indicated below:
- Now that Vascepa is approved by FDA and Canada health; the Institutions, Mutual fund, ETF fund are expected to increase their holdings and not miss a major breakthrough drug. Hence, we may see a gradual pick-up in share prices.
- During 2020 we could potentially see approval from European union, China and possibly some Arabian nations.
- Health insurance, Medicare & Medicaid may soon grant coverage for Vascepa multiplying revenue.
- The FDA approval also gave medical practitioners more leverage to practice based on their experience & patient characteristics which could result in huge prescription growth.
- The prescription growth could explode generating huge revenue growth, probably reaching more than $1 billion in 2020 comparing to around $400 million in 2019.
Apple (AAPL): Apple has been on tear since last few months and has been on up-trend since
August. The company has surpassed revenue and profit expectations. The main
reason why apple keeps going up is the anticipation of 5G phone next year where
significant upgrades are expected. That will keep the momentum on this stock
going into 2020.
Alibaba (BABA): After listing its stock in NYSE in 2014, Alibaba recently listed it
stock in Hongkong stock exchange. The company is still growing revenue at 40%
Y-O-Y and earnings increased at 260%. Although, the company is sitting on its
52-weeks high, it’s still cheap as it’s trading 24 times of next year’s
earnings. If somebody has to buy one Chinese stock, then that should be BABA.
Guardant Health (GH): I am anticipating that GH should go past its 52-weeks high of $112.22
unless stock market takes a dive. Next
year we may see further spike in the usage and coverage of its flagship product
Guardant360
resulting in higher revenue
profitability and share price. The
readers can note that third quarter revenue jumped 181% to $60.8 million comparing
to same quarter last year, loss also got minimized better than expected. I
feel that the momentum will continue into 2020. In my view, medical device
sector is going to perform better next year.
Arora Cannabis (ACB): ACB is down about 80% from it’s 5-weeks high. There is a speculation
that the company may be bankrupted, the share price could go down to 0. But let
me say that, ACB is one of the largest, high quality, low cost of production
company in the industry. They have some cashflow problem, but I
believe the company may strike some deals in the near future. If that happens,
and next couple of quarters are good then this stock can double or triple this
year. However, we will see how the company can withstand for next couple of
quarters. This is may be riskiest of my list but I still keep it.
iQIYI (IQ): Probably 2020 year would be a turning point for iQiyi. They are known as
Netflix of China. The company said during last earnings call that they are
on track to improve long-term efficiency through disciplined spending and
investment. Also, the company is enhancing monetization and transitioning
towards a more balanced content structure to enhance shareholders values.
Some other stocks on my list to be looked for
2020: CVM, TGTX, NIO, APHA, ROKU, GWPH, GERN. I own these stocks but have not included it on my blog portfolio as they
are highly volatile stock. But I could expect some big winner from these lots. I
have highlighted this during my last investment meet.
Cannabis Sector to watch in 2020:
ACB and Cannabis sector in general had a very
tough year, particularly 2nd half of the year. They are down but not
out! There is bloodbath in the sector. Canada 2.0 came into effect in
mid-December, companies can be able to sell marijuana edibles (to eat
or drink), topicals (to apply to skin, hair or nails) and extracts (to be
ingested or inhaled). These have already hit the store shelves and
Cannabis companies have started generating revenue. These will bring brand new
consumers who want to experiment with cannabis but don’t want to smoke. The
edible market could grow tremendously because it’s regulated by Health Canada.
It’s estimated to generate $3.9 - $7.8 billion. There is nothing going right for this
sector at the moment. Last Friday, 12/31, we just saw a small firework on the
sector. If the next earnings are good and they provide some reasonable guidance,
then we could see old momentum back. I think we should see some spike in this
sector before U.S presidential election. Let’s see how it goes.
Major Stock
Market Performances in 2019
Indexes
|
52 week (% age change)
|
YTD % Change
|
DOW
|
22.34%
|
22.34%
|
S&P 500
|
28.88%
|
28.88%
|
NASDAQ
|
35.23%
|
35.23%
|
China Shanghai Index
|
22.30%
|
22.30%
|
India BSE Sensex
|
17.36%
|
0.12%
|
Japan Nikki
|
18.20%
|
18.20%
|
Hongkong Hang Seng
|
9.07%
|
9.07%
|
London FTSE
|
12.10%
|
12.10%
|
Source:
Morningstar, Wall Street Journal
Sectorial
Performances 1 Year (U.S Stocks)
IT
|
49.45% (TOP)
|
Industrials
|
28.10%
|
Financials
|
30.44%
|
Consumer Staples
|
24.47%
|
Real Estate
|
24.97%
|
Communication and Services
|
31.25%
|
Consumer Discretionary
|
27.58%
|
Utilities
|
22.48%
|
Health Care
|
20.33%
|
Energy
|
8.12%
|
Source:
CNN Business
Now
let me discuss about my current month’s inclusion to my Blog Portfolio.
SmileDirectClub, Inc. (SDC)
SDC operates a teledentistry
platform that provides member's with a customized clear aligner therapy
treatment in the United States other countries. The company manages the
end-to-end process, including marketing, aligner manufacturing, fulfillment,
treatment by a doctor, and monitoring.
The company operates with approximately 240 state licensed orthodontists and
general dentists through its teledentistry platform known as SmileCheck. It
offers aligners, impression kits, whitening gels, and retainers. In other
words, the company provides simple, consumer-friendly,
economic offering for people to fix their teeth.
SDC ships clear
aligners directly to customers, whose progress is
monitored remotely by licensed dentists or orthodontists. Customers either go
to a so-called SmileShop and get a free 3-D image taken of their teeth. The
consumer can also buy a kit online to make an impression of their teeth
to mail to SmileDirectClub which is then reviewed by the dentistry and
prescribes aligners if required.
The average treatment plan is around six months, which is significantly
shorter than regular 12 - 24 months a traditional dentist takes to institute braces. Moreover, its program costs up to 60%
less than the traditional course of orthodontic braces.
Challenges: The company faces challenges including cash burn and
regulatory problems. The dental lobby secured restrictive legislation in
California that requires reviews of x-rays by orthodontists. Align Technology (ALGN)
the maker of the Invisalign brand of clear aligners, began supplying aligners
for SmileDirectClub and took a 17% stake in the company in 2016. The
relationship between the two companies deteriorated in 2017 when Align began
rolling out provider-owned invisalign stores that provided digital scans and walk-in
appointments as part of their pilot program causing its relationship to
deteriorate. Align has said it will not be renewing its supply agreement with
SmileDirectClub, which ends at the end of 2019.
New Partnership: Recently, SDC struck deals with CVS
Health Corp and Walgreens
Boots Alliance allowing the company to open
up to 1,500 SmileShops within CVS stores and any number of shops in Walgreens stores across the U.S. The company currently have over 300
SmileShops across the U.S., Canada, Australia and the United Kingdom. It
expects to open about 20 more stores each month.
International Expansion: A few days ago, the company announced plans to
increase its international expansion by introducing its clear aligner therapy
to Germany in early 2020 and open multiple SmileShops across the country. This
is a good move and expected to contribute to SDC’s top and bottom line in next
few weeks/months.
Financials: On September 12, 2019, the company went
public by offering shares at $23 which was above the expected
price of $19-$22 per share. After the IPO, shares started sliding down for no
obvious reason except a couple the reasons mentioned (see challenges above). Moreover,
the CEO & Chairman bought shares worth $684k at about US$18.50 per share.
Also, there were some more insider purchases.
Having said that, the shares
are still in downward spiral and now getting consolidated between $8-$9.
Currently, the share price is $8.74 which is 62% below its IPO price of
$23. In other words, a discount of 62%. The
company has revenue of $642.63 million and grown at terrific
49.9%. This year SDC is expected to generate $754
million in revenue and next year is projected to be $1.18 billion. The
price to sales is only 4.89 which seems to me pretty cheap considering such
huge revenue growth. Add to that, the company will continue to grow within U.S
and internationally. Agreed that, the company is not expected to generate any
profit till the end of 2020. However, none of the growing companies get into profitability
in the initial few years due to their expenses and expansion irrespective how great the company is. I have been
accumulating this stock for last few weeks and will keep doing so on a down
day.
My final thoughts
The shares look cheap to me
visualizing the excellent prospect of the company. I will not be surprised if
the stock doubles from here in next few months or in a year time. Wallstreet
is still blinded on its growth and once they realize the
potential, institutional investors, fund managers will jump into the fray and we
can see a huge bump in the share price at that time. Now is the time to
accumulate and hold it with patience.
My Investment Framework: As I keep saying, I do not keep chasing any stock or highflier
unless I want to trade. But I am not a trader, hence I prefer to buy the stock
in a phased manner and keep accumulating a good company over a period of time
and keep making dollar cost average. I am not too concerned about day-today fluctuation.
When the stock is down, I look it as an opportunity rather than threat. It
seems that process works for me, but each individual may have their own investment
framework. I may trade some options, but I keep a long-term vision and avoid
playing short term. If I think the company does not worth the investment, then
I pull the trigger and look for alternative stock with better potential.
Risks: It’s important to
see how the new expansion plan works out. Secondly, as the company keeps growing,
we can’t expect profitability this year. There are also a few lawsuits against
the company. But I am really not too concerned about these litigations because
the law firms just keep looking for some opportunity to make money. Every stock
depends upon the market behavior and market sentiment, so SDC is no exception.
However, I do see some great opportunity with this stock in coming months and
will stay invested. I will not put more than 2-3% of my portfolio money.
Shesa’s Blog Portfolio (As of Jan 1, 2020): Update: 1/31/20. Added a new position to my holding (NIO) and sold BZUN. I will write my detailed analysis during my FEBRUARY blog about NIO.
Equity
|
Suggest Price
|
Current Price
|
Suggest Date
|
% Change
|
My View
(see disclaimer) |
STOCK (All prices are in USD)
|
|||||
51.63
|
293.65
|
1/25/13
|
469%
|
Accumulate
|
|
47
|
205.25
|
11/13/13
|
337%
|
Accumulate
|
|
77.18
|
298.59
|
12/12/13
|
287%
|
HOLD
|
|
311.73
|
1847.84
|
4/12/14
|
493%
|
BUY
|
|
67.28
|
212.1
|
2/21/16
|
215%
|
BUY
|
|
206.96
|
226.5
|
3/18/18
|
9%
|
HOLD
|
|
36.53
|
29.61
|
5/28/18
|
-19%
|
BUY
|
|
26.13
|
21.11
|
9/18/18
|
-19%
|
Accumulate
|
|
134.81
|
397.58
|
11/25/18
|
195%
|
HOLD
|
|
297.57
|
323.57
|
1/6/19
|
9%
|
HOLD
|
|
17.66
|
21.44
|
2/17/19
|
21%
|
MY TOP PICK for 2020
|
|
20.16
|
21.46
|
12/10/19
|
6%
|
Sold but Added back.
|
|
9
|
2.16
|
4/18/19
|
-76%
|
Accumulate (My Avg Cost: 4.4)
|
|
64.66
|
62.25
|
5/26/19
|
-4%
|
HOLD
|
|
4.66
|
1.82
|
6/30/19
|
-61%
|
HOLD (My Avg Cost: 3.45)
|
|
87.53
|
78.14
|
9/1/19
|
-11%
|
Long term BUY
|
|
42.48
|
33.12
|
11/10/19
|
-22%
|
SOLD
|
|
8.74
|
8.74
|
1/1/20
|
0%
|
NEW ADDITION
|
|
ETF
|
|||||
139.1
|
200.78
|
8/16/15
|
44%
|
HOLD
|
|
77.76
|
125.42
|
8/16/15
|
61%
|
HOLD - Trimmed
|
|
MUTUAL FUND
|
|||||
11.46
|
22.09
|
3/1/13
|
93%
|
HOLD
|
|
47.25
|
81.43
|
2/2/14
|
72%
|
HOLD
|
|
59.45
|
123.76
|
12/20/14
|
108%
|
HOLD
|
|
MCDFX
|
12.37
|
16.2
|
12/9/15
|
31%
|
HOLD
|
9.05
|
16.85
|
1/15/16
|
86%
|
HOLD - Trimmed
|
|
37.32
|
75.24
|
3/20/16
|
102%
|
HOLD
|
|
43.66
|
60.18
|
9/24/17
|
38%
|
HOLD
|
|
11.72
|
12.79
|
10/21/18
|
9%
|
HOLD
|
|
Note: Dividends are not adjusted on the price.
|
Positions
CLOSED since last Blog
None.
That’s all for today. Wish you great investing!
Stay tuned for my next blog. Thanks for your time. If you want to get alert on
my investment action, then please subscribe to shesagroup_invest@googlegroups.com
or you
can also join my WhatsApp group, if interested.
Disclaimer: This blog is
meant to provide my opinion only. The information provided is to the
best of my knowledge but may not be accurate. I do NOT provide any
professional recommendation to buy/sell any stock, ETF, mutual fund, or any
other security(s). As an investor, it’s your hard-earned money and you decide
what is best for you. The above are merely my own opinions. Please contact a
professional money manager to buy/sell any security. I do not charge any fees
or commission by writing the blog except anything from Google AdSense. I have
position(s) on whatever security I write on my blog and avoid recommending any
security that I do not own or follow. Anybody buying or selling the equities
mentioned here would do it on their own risk.
Thanks Shesa. Excellent Summary.
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