Shesa's Weekend Report - 7|13|25

Welcome to my Weekend Updates

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new all-time highs but closed lower on July 11, 2025. For the week, S&P 500: -0.33%, closed at 6,259.75 from 6,280.46. Nasdaq Composite: -0.22%, closed at 20,585.53 from 20,630.66. Dow Jones Industrial Average: -1.1%, closed at 44,371.51 from 44,650.64. Tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, Broadcom led earlier gains, but consumer staples outperformed as there were some shift from tech stocks after it hits all-time high. Nvidia (NVDA) became the world’s first company to hit  $4 trillion market capitalization. Its GPU built for gaming became a turning point of AI revolution making it possible. Last Friday, the stock closed at 164.92 taking its market cap to 4.022T.

Tariff concerns escalates: The new 35% tariff on Canada, drove market declines. Trump just announced a 30% tariff on goods from the European Union and Mexico, effective August 1. The EU’s trade negotiator is scrambling for a deal to avoid these, proposing a flat 10% tariff instead, but Trump’s holding firm. The tariff situation is again getting complicated, we will see how it goes but some caution is warranted. If the market pullback, it may be worth considering to accumulated good stocks. 

Q2 EARNINGS
The Q2 earnings will kick-off this week. Most of the Banks and Financial companies will start reporting this week. In addition, the Tech Earnings will kick-off this week with Netflix (NFLX) releasing on 7/17, followed by Tesla (TSLA) on 7/23 and then we will have the Super Bowl of all major techs earnings release. If earnings goes well and not too much of Tariff fear then we can expect S&P 500 to go past 7,000 points and Nasdaq could surpass 21,000.

WhatsApp Poll - My View: THANKS to all those who voted in the WhatsApp poll about whether you are invested? As I keep telling in my investment meets and Blog, I believe to be mostly invested in the market but it’s always sensible to have some CASH. That’s how we can leverage on the pullback. Currently, there are many good tech stocks which have come down. If some money is on there on the sidelines then that helps. 

Other News
  • Tesla (TSLA) will be opening its first showroom in India on JULY 15, 2025 at Mumbai's Jio World drive in Bandra, next is planned for New Delhi by late July. Also, the company released Grok 4 and Grok 4 heavy. People with premium connectivity on Tesla can have access to it. But vehicle control is yet to be supported. 
  • Nvidia’s Jensen Huang is heading to the White House to meet with Trump before a trip to China.
  • On 7/9, SpaceX received the final approval it needed from India's government to introduce @Starlink in the country! SpaceX is in talks to raise new funds at a jaw-dropping $400 billion valuation.
  • CoreWeave (CRWV) became the first cloud provider to offer Nvidia’s RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell GPUs at scale. That’s a huge milestone.
  • There was a question on Bitcoin in my WhatsApp group. I am not a big fan of Bitcoin. However, visualizing Trump’s policy it makes sense to have some investment in it. I like GBTC and have a small investment in there. BTC also looks OK.
What can we expect this week?
I do not know and can't predict the market. However, my feeling is that first couple of days may remain little sloppy for Nasdaq due to tariff situations but may bounce around Wednesday, Thursday before Netflix earnings. After that it all depends on how the tech earnings will go. That would be the key determinant combined with any trade deals announcements. 

Earnings this week
JPM, C, WFC, BAC, GS, MS, JNJ, TSM, NFLX, AXP

Stocks to watch 
NFLX, HOOD, NVDA, TSLA, FAS, AVGO, META, CRWD, SOXL, QQQ, JPM, CVNA, DASH, 
QS, ENVX

Key Economic Report this week
TUE, July 15: Consumer price index (CPI) - This may be market moving event
WED, July 16: Producer Price Index (PPI)  - This may be market moving event
FRI, July 17: Consumer sentiment (preliminary report)


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