Shesa's Investment Blog

Welcome to the weekend updates Last week was a shortened week due to Christmas holiday and resulting in very low Volumes throughout the week due to the holiday season. Overall, it was a quiet week. However, the stock market managed to go up for the week but still many of the AI stocks had a lackluster week. Let's see what happens this week - another short one. This is how the indexes performed last week: S&P 500: +1.4% weekly, closed at 6,929.94 (new intraday all-time high 6,945.77). Dow Jones: +1.2% weekly, closed at 48,710.97. Nasdaq: +1.2% weekly, closed at 23,593.10. Economic Report last week Strong Q3 GDP growth expanded at a 4.3% annualized pace, reinforcing confidence in economic growth but potentially tempering expectations for rapid Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in the near future. Nvidia's (NVDA ) announced $20 billion deal for Groq's AI inference tech, acquiring talent and assets to boost its AI capabilities. This was taken positively by Wall ...

Welcome to the weekend stock market updates This week, I will have a short updates as we approach to the end of the year. My January blog would have enormous information. The week started on a terrible note specifically for the technology stocks. However, after the economic news and Micron's good earnings the tech stocks bounced back. The  AI stocks led again, and suddenly the market is trying very hard to finish the year on a high note. For the first time in weeks, the tape feels constructive instead of fragile. The   AI stocks showed some life after a while.  For the week the indexes were as follows: S&P 500 +0.11% (to 6,834.50), Nasdaq +0.48% (to 23,307.62), Dow -0.67% (to 48,134.89). Economic reports last week The November Nonfarm payrolls came at 64,000 vs. 45,000. Please note that there was a a sharp decline of -105,000 jobs in October.  The unemployment rate also increased to  4.6% , highest after COVID  and its highest level since September 2...

Welcome to my weekend stock market updates Last week we saw DOW and S&P 500 hit new all-time high but Nasdaq has lost about 3.5% from its all time high. Tech had worst day last Friday in two months and Nasdaq was down about 1.6% for the week. But felt like the index was down more than 5% for the week because most of the tech stocks were hit hard except Tesla from the magnificent seven . Primarily AVGO , ORCL , HOOD, MSFT ,  NVDA  and many other AI related stocks were hammered. The money moved from tech to non-tech DOW stocks. Does it mean that the days of AI and Tech stocks are over? I conducted a poll in my WhatsApp group and found wide variations on what the members think. I will discuss about it little later.  Federal Reserver Rate Cut and Updates The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered its key overnight by 0.25% as expected . It brings the borrowing rate in a range between 3.5%-3.75% . In addition, the Fed also announced, it will resume buying short...

Welcome to my weekend updates December has not been phenomenal but not bad so far. Nasdaq is up 0.9% and S&P 500 is up 0.31%. But the star has been the Small Cap index - Russell 2000 which is up 2.28% so far this year. I will discuss later why we saw some positive move on the market later. Netflix announced a $72B deal to acquire Warner Bros. film/TV studios and HBO Max, pending regulatory approval. Last week, S&P 500 was +0.3%, Nasdaq: +0.9% and Dow: +0.5%. Small-caps (Russell 2000) was up +1.5% last week. Next week's key Earnings Oracle ( ORCL ) on Wednesday,  12/10 after COB Broadcom ( AVGO ) on Thursday, 10/11 after COB  I will keep a close eye on both of the above earnings. I am optimistic about AVGO earnings but little apprehensive about ORCL due to its debt situation and future booking. But I will be thrilled if it surprises.  Economic Report this week WED, 12/10: FOMC decision on Interest Rate Federal Reserver Rate Cut POLL I conducted ...

Welcome to the weekend updates Hope all the readers have/had a great thanksgiving! This week was shortened by Thanksgiving holidays. US stocks rallied near records. S&P 500 rose 2.2% to 6,849. Dow gained 2.7%; Nasdaq up 2.3% but down about 2% for November. Please note that last time Nasdaq lost -1.22% in November 2016. Hence, it was a reversal this year for Nasdaq. The S&P/Dow notched seventh straight monthly gain; Nasdaq first loss since March 2025. The focus was back to some of the AI stocks, but Nvidia's losing streak continues. The holiday sales are looking much better than expected, hence that's a very positive sign of the stock market 4.1% vs. 3.8% expected.  Here is the projected figure of Holiday U.S Sales Appox Shoppers: Record 186.9 million (Stores + Online).   Thanksgiving Day: $6.4B online (up 4.9–5.3% YoY, actual).   Black Friday: $11.7B–$11.8B online (up 8.3–9.1% YoY, actual); overall 4.1% growth (in-store + Online).   Cyber Monday: Projected ...

 Welcome to the Weekend Updates THANKS to all those who attended today's Q&A session., I hope it was helpful to get some insight into the market. Thus far, November has been a worst month for Nasdaq bucking the historical trend. Last week was very Volatile, ended down due to AI/tech valuation worries (e.g., Nvidia blowout earnings sparked sustainability fears). This week Dow: -1.9%, S&P 500: -2.0% , Nasdaq: -2.7%, 3rd straight weekly loss). Nasdaq has lost about 7% from its peak about a month ago. Friday investors got some relief came after New York Fed chair said, he favors lower rate that increased the chances of December rate cut odds to about 70%.  Last week, the U.S. economy added 119,000 jobs in September vs. expectations for 50,000 jobs. However, the unemployment rate showed unexpected weakness, rising to 4.4% from 4.3%. The new level is the highest level it’s been since October 2021. Nvidia’s strong earnings sparked early rally sending ...

Welcome to the weekend updates What a volatile week for the technology stocks! So far, we have seen a turbulent November . We saw  prolonged government shutdown (longest in history), delayed economic data, hurt consumer sentiment; AI/tech skepticism about AI stocks, rotation to healthcare/energy, lukewarm economic growth etc. Dow hit records mid-week on shutdown as investors took profit from AI stocks and rotated to other sectors. But  after the week's wild swings, Nasdaq ended down about 0.5% for the period. However, both the S&P 500 and the Dow held hair gain, up 0.1% and 0.3%, respectively.  So, why did  technology stocks got hammered? A Short seller showed  concern about the depreciation of the life of chips/GPU and said  that  AI stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR) are in a bubble with overinflated valuations, prompting his $1.1 billion short bets revealed in early November 2025 filings. This triggered a tech sell-off and backlash f...

Welcome to Shesa’s Blog U.S. Stock Market Update   I have a shorter version of my blog this month. The month of October started in a volatile manner but it picked up and Dow was up 2.6%, S&P 500 was up 2.3% and Nasdaq roared up 4.7%. We are seeing the similar trend in the month of November. Historically, November happens to be the best month for the stock market since 1950. As of date, Nasdaq is up 21.5% and S&P 500 is up 16.4% for the year. Meanwhile, the stock market had a volatile week on the fear of AI/tech valuation, longest government shutdown in U.S history . It’s expected to end tomorrow, let’s see if that happens. The ADP payroll was little better but layoffs in October (153,074) the highest in last 23 years mostly attributed to cost cutting due to AI impact and DOGE impact. The consumer sentiment was second lowest ever due to government shutdown and dull labor market situation. Despite strong Q3 earnings (82% beats, ~11% growth) the stock market has not be...